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Protecting Nuclear Installations: The difference between industrial safety and national security

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Protecting Nuclear Installations: The difference between industrial safety and national security
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There is a gritty public debate going on in Europe about what threats should be considered in conducting stress tests on existing nuclear power plants or in establishing safety criteria for new build nuclear power. 

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The catastrophe of Fukushima has reminded all too vividly how powerful and unpredictable natural events can be - combining assaults on mankind’s infrastructure. The collective action of a 9.0 seismic event and a 14m Tsunami has been humbling and the consequences beyond the means of any power producer anywhere to manage. Visibly, the Japanese government (taxpayer) is going to have to shoulder a heavy portion of this burden. The French will remember on a lesser scale the combined assault of the sea and the Gironde on Blayais in 1999 and many nuclear operators around the world can probably posit extreme events that would test their defenses. We are all reflecting on what constitutes enough insurance and investment in a level of safety, knowing there is never a zero probability of an accident.

Under discussion (mostly by megaphone) is whether the ability to withstand terrorist acts or the impact of heavy aircraft should be part of the safety standards for nuclear installations. It would not be hard to imagine that our citizens would be happier knowing that preparations are in hand to deal with these threats. After all, the world has been witness to all of these things recently and just a few days ago the Taliban demonstrated their ability to occupy, if only briefly, sensitive installations in one of the world’s nuclear weapons states. Surely these are real risks and nuclear power plants would make very high visibility or strategic targets.

But at what point is such a burden the responsibility of society as a whole as opposed to an industrial operator? Many industrial sites would do grievous damage to their surroundings if they were the subject of calamitous attack by terrorists or a falling aircraft. Many of them are near urban centers. But are these questions of industrial safety or national security?

Obviously nuclear safety practices around Europe as around the world are determined at the State level. These are sovereign responsibilities taken seriously by all of our states and refined constantly in light of technology developments and lessons learned through others" mishaps. But these standards have not been developed according to a universal standard. It is probably right, on the heels of Fukushima and in anticipation of many new countries aspiring to civilian nuclear programs, to give thought to whether there should be universal standards and what they would be. This debate is already joined in energy circles.

We are probably all convinced that our own standards are the best, but there is surely merit in satisfying ourselves that everyone else demands a standard that will protect us all; accidents in nuclear facilities resonate everywhere. If we believe a global understanding is desirable, we should initiate a dialogue. By all indications such a dialogue will need to deal early on with the question of whether terrorism and aircraft impact are industrial safety or national security - with implications for who bears the relevant costs and shoulders the responsibility.

For now, the West European Nuclear Regulator Association (WENRA) has established criteria for European stress tests and the European Nuclear Safety Regulator Group (ENSRG) and the Commission will work out the modalities of the process.

The question of terrorism attacks or the impact of a heavy aircraft goes unanswered.

Is that what our citizens expect?

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William C. RAMSAY

Intitulé du poste

Directeur du Centre Energie de l'Ifri de 2008 à 2011, Conseiller de 2012 à 2016

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

Date de publication
30 October 2024
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Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
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Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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The Troubled Reorganization of Critical Raw Materials Value Chains: An Assessment of European De-risking Policies

Date de publication
30 September 2024
Accroche

With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

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