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A Tragic Tale of Corn and Congress

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A Tragic Tale of Corn and Congress
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Ever since Iowa landed the privilege of holding the first Presidential primary, no candidate has the political courage to confront the $11 billion subsidy price tag of US corn ethanol. Everyone agrees we need to dilute our supply and price vulnerability in transportation fuels and everyone agrees we need to decarbonize the transport sector. But surely not this way.

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There is no environmental justification for corn ethanol if net carbon savings are counted across the entire range on inputs of the final product - including alternative land use. And by most calculations, the few tons of CO2 saved probably cost tax payers over $700 per ton. Maybe the learning experiences of handling biofuels, blending, combustion technologies and infrastructure will help us move on to second generation biofuels. But does our apprenticeship have to be so expensive and damaging? It is hard to balance a budget this way.

Forty percent of the world’s corn is grown in the US and 40% of that goes into producing ethanol. America’s livestock now consume less corn that America’s alambics. Meanwhile, the price of corn has doubled to nearly $8.00 a bushel in a year which aggravates a food crisis that is visible every night on the television. America’s corn ethanol program does not cause the hunger around the world - but its impact on grain markets certainly makes hunger harder to resolve. Of course starving Africans don’t vote in the US.

Even Brazil has understood that if food conversion to ethanol starts to impair broader welfare through price inflation, it’s time to cut back on support for the scheme. Ironically, reduced production of sugar-based ethanol in Brazil is being compensated by exports of subsidized US corn-based ethanol from the US. Fortunately for US producers, the US only has an import duty of 54 $cents on alcohol, but no export levy.

No one believes for a moment that the US will scrap its corn ethanol program and save the whole $11 billion in subsidies, but at a minimum the program is over-subsidized. It cannot be justified on energy policy grounds or environmental policy grounds. So if it’s only real justification is political, it is time to restore corn to the food chain. The US Senate seems to know this. The Obama Administration should seize the opportunity to undo this program.

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William C. RAMSAY

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Directeur du Centre Energie de l'Ifri de 2008 à 2011, Conseiller de 2012 à 2016

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

Date de publication
30 October 2024
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Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
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Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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The Troubled Reorganization of Critical Raw Materials Value Chains: An Assessment of European De-risking Policies

Date de publication
30 September 2024
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With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

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