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Will there ever be a European Gas and Electricity Market ?

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Édito Énergie
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Y-aura-t-il un jour un marché européen du gaz et de l'électricité ?
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A year ago, I would have responded to this question rather positively. Nowadays, I am not so sure. My relative optimism before was based on the replacement of a group of monopoly-holding (at least regionally) national operators, by an oligopoly of operators with a sizeable proportion of their activity outside of their countries of origin. These included EON, EdF, RWE, ENEL, GDFSuez, IBERDROLA, VATTENFALL and others.

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However, the trend has recently reversed: EON has sold its British, Italian and Central European distribution activities. EdF has ceased its distribution in Great Britain with the sale of British Energy, and more importantly in Germany has sold EnBW.

Why this reversal? The big groups have noticed that the states would not relinquish their roles in choosing production investments; that the public authorities, either national, regional or both, were persisting in intervening with sale prices; and that the prospects for profitable distribution were unfavourable. Moreover, decisions regarding intra-European networks take too long. And there were often inconsistencies in energy policies both within and between countries.

What to do from here? In this necessarily short editorial, I will sketch an adaptation of the EU energy policy which would be beneficial:

• Reinsert at the center of the EU strategy the objective of competitiveness:
o Admit that two national production models will exist side by side: one without nuclear power or preparing to cease nuclear activity, the other with nuclear power and having the aim of obtaining a quasi-renewable source with Generation IV.
o Treat all electricity equally, regardless of its source, in terms of transport, distribution and international networks.
o Enhance the powers of European transport and networking organisations with the aim of optimising the total cost of electricity provision (necessarily taking into account the irregularity of certain renewable sources).
o Prohibit governments from exerting any influence over wholesale or industrial markets and work progressively towards a total liberalisation of domestic prices.
o Efficiently manage the carbon market in the sectors covered by the EU Emission Trading Scheme (with an horizon longer than 2020 and price floors) and look into introducing a tax for other emissions.

I will add that in the 3*20, the key objective seems to be the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions on European soil. To include with this the savings caused by CDMs is a dangerous hypocrisy which will lead to the attainment of illusory objectives which will have been stripped of all sense.

 

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Jacques LESOURNE

Intitulé du poste

Jacques Lesourne was President of the Scientific Committee of the Center for Energy

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

Date de publication
30 October 2024
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Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
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Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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The Troubled Reorganization of Critical Raw Materials Value Chains: An Assessment of European De-risking Policies

Date de publication
30 September 2024
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With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

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