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La Guerre de vingt ans. Djihadisme et contre-terrorisme au XXIe siècle

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La Guerre de Vingt Ans couverture, Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum
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La Guerre de vingt ans was awarded the Prize for the best book on geopolitics in 2021.

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It has already been twenty years since the World Trade Center towers came crashing down. Who would have believed that, two decades later, the global war on terrorism continues without an end in sight? From the sands of the Sahara to the jungles of southeast Asia and from the Iraqi plains to the Afghani mountains, the West and its allies are still chasing down the jihadist movement with faultless determination. The threat is not limited to far-off countries; Europe, and especially France, have paid a high price for this long conflict.

Al-Qaeda has shown remarkable resilience, and several new groups, like ISIS, have since appeared. The fall of the so-called “caliphate” as proclaimed by ISIS does not signal the end to the organization, much less to its deadly ideology. There are now two to three times more jihadist fighters in the world than at the start of the twenty-first century. This discouraging figure from an endless war begs the question: what have we done in the last twenty years? Despite hundreds of thousands of human lives lost and considerable sums spent in the war on terrorism, why is the threat still so high?

This exceptional book, the fruit of several years of field investigations, offers the first history of the war on terrorism from 2001 to today. The authors decipher the strategic dynamics of this conflict by explaining why it is so difficult to break the spiral of violence and look back over these two decades of fighting in order to find essential lessons for the future.

 

La Guerre de vingt ans. Djihadisme et contre-terrorisme au XXIe siècle [The Twenty Years' War. Jihadism and Counter-terrorism in the 21st Century], Robert Laffont, 448 pages, 29 avril 2021.

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9782221250976

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Author(s)
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Marc HECKER

Intitulé du poste

Deputy Director of Ifri, Editor-in-Chief of Politique étrangère, and Research Fellow at the Security Studies Center, Ifri

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Élie TENENBAUM

Élie TENENBAUM

Intitulé du poste

Director of the Security Studies Center

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 A soldier watching a sunset on an armored infantry fighting vehicle
Security Studies Center
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Heir to a tradition dating back to the founding of Ifri, the Security Studies Center provides public and private decision-makers as well as the general public with the keys to understanding power relations and contemporary modes of conflict as well as those to come. Through its positioning at the juncture of politics and operations, the credibility of its civil-military team and the wide distribution of its publications in French and English, the Center for Security Studies constitutes in the French landscape of think tanks a unique center of research and influence on the national and international defense debate.

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Internal Security
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The distinction between internal and external threats is often exaggerated, as the borders are so porous. Conflicts taking place thousands of kilometers from France can have tragic resonances on national territory. Radicalization, terrorism and even organized crime have an international dimension that cannot be ignored.

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Return to the East: the Russian Threat and the French Pivot to Europe's Eastern Flank

Date de publication
13 June 2024
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Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has flung Europe’s Eastern flank into a new phase of strategic confrontation. It has had a major effect on France’s position, which was previously somewhat timid, leading it to significantly reinforce its deterrence and defense posture in support of the collective defense of Europe, in the name of strategic solidarity and the protection of its security interests.

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Military Stockpiles: A Life-Insurance Policy in a High-Intensity Conflict?

Date de publication
06 December 2022
Accroche

The war in Ukraine is a reminder of the place of attrition from high-intensity conflict in European armies that have been cut to the bone after three decades of budget cuts. All European forces have had to reduce their stocks to the bare minimum. As a result, support to Ukraine has meant a significant drain on their operational capabilities. A significant amount of decommissioned systems were also donated, due to the lack of depth in operational fleets.

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France’s Place Within NATO: Toward a Strategic Aggiornamento?

Date de publication
27 June 2023
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With a rapidly deteriorating security environment, a chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, internal disputes exploding into public view, and questions being raised about the scope of its security responsibilities, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) seemed to be in dire straits at the time of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022.

Towards a European Nuclear Deterrent

Date de publication
20 September 2024
Accroche

While major European powers may have to contemplate nuclear deterrence without America, the national flexibility and European financial support required to make it feasible is currently difficult to imagine.

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La Guerre de Vingt Ans couverture, Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum
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