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The Liberal Democrats in the German Federal Elections: A Party Fighting for Survival

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Notes du Cerfa
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The Free Democratic Party FDP, in great difficulty ahead of the early elections in 2025, is trying to recover after the collapse of the coalition with the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) and the Greens. Its wavering position between government and opposition has undermined its credibility, and it is struggling to surpass the 5% threshold.

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Heidelberg, Germany - January 25, 2025: Poster for the Liberal Political party FDP at the Federal Elections 2025
Heidelberg, Germany - January 25, 2025: Poster for the Liberal Political party FDP at the Federal Elections 2025
Firn/Shutterstock.com
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Its program focuses on economic recovery, with tax cuts and a reduction in the role of the state. It has also toughened its stance on immigration to appeal to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), but its tacit cooperation with the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) has sparked fierce controversy. Despite its ambition to establish itself as a key player, the FDP risks disappearing from the Bundestag, a victim of its lack of consistency and voter distrust.

Jeanette Süß is a researcher at the Study Committee on Franco-German (Cerfa) at the French Institute of International Relations (Ifri), working in particular on the European Union and the Franco-German relations.

 

This publication is available in French (pdf): "Les libéraux-démocrates face aux élections fédérales allemandes : un parti en lutte pour sa survie

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Notes du Cerfa, No. 183, Ifri, February 2025

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Jeanette SÜẞ

Jeanette SÜß

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The Pariser Platz (Paris Square) on the east side of the Brandenburg Gate at Berlin, Germany
The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa)
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The Study Committee on Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) was created in 1954 by an inter-governmental agreement between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, in order to raise awareness of Germany in France and analyze Franco-German relations, including in their European and international dimensions. In its conferences and seminars, which bring together experts, political leaders, senior decision-makers and representatives of civil society from both countries, Cerfa develops the Franco-German debate and stimulates political proposals. It regularly publishes studies through two collections: Cerfa notes and studies as well as Franco-German visions.

 

Cerfa maintains close relations with the network of German foundations and think tanks. In addition to its research and debate activities, Cerfa promotes the emergence of a new Franco-German generation through original cooperation programs. This is how in 2021-2022, Cerfa led a program on multilateralism with the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Paris. This program is aimed at young professionals from both countries interested in the issues of multilateralism in the context of their activities. It covered a wide range of themes relating to multilateralism, such as international trade, health, human rights and migration, non-proliferation and disarmament. Previously, Cerfa had participated in the Franco-German future dialogue, co-led with the DGAP from 2007 to 2020, and supported by the Robert Bosch Foundation and the Daniel Vernet group (formerly the Franco-German Reflection Group) which was founded in 2014 upon the initiative of the Genshagen Foundation.

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Friedrich Merz and the Zeitenwende 2.0. A “New Era” for Transatlantic Relations?

Date de publication
07 March 2025
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On February 23, 2025, almost 60 million voters were called upon to elect a new Bundestag. These elections will also give rise to a new government in Europe's largest economy.

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After the Elections: Germany in Search of Shaken Stability?

Date de publication
05 March 2025
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With a voter turnout of 82.5%, Germany recorded its highest participation since 1987—an increase of 6.1 percentage points compared to 2021. As in the previous election, the high turnout particularly benefited the Alternative for Germany (AfD), which was able to mobilize many former non-voters. Many voters sought to punish the outgoing government with their ballots, as its approval rating had dropped to just 14% before the coalition broke apart in November 2024. Germany is now very likely heading toward a grand coalition between the CDU/CSU and the SPD, with exploratory talks having begun on February 28.

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The German Greens as an Alliance Party: The End of an Illusion?

Date de publication
13 February 2025
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At the Wiesbaden Congress in November 2024, Robert Habeck, currently Minister for the Economy and Climate, was nominated as the Green Party’s candidate for the Chancellorship in the early parliamentary elections on February 23, 2025. The party, founded 45 years ago, is now firmly established in the German political landscape. Wishing to turn the page on an unloved ‘‘traffic light’’ coalition, the party is banking on a personal campaign and an optimistic discourse based on the energy transition and social justice.

Annette LENSING
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The rise of the AfD and the choice of radicalism

Date de publication
12 February 2025
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Founded in 2013, the Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) has become increasingly radical as crises have unfolded. Since 2015-2016 and the massive influx of immigrants into Germany, it has positioned itself as a virulently anti-migrant party and continues to consolidate its foothold in the German political system, particularly in parliaments. While its roots are very strong in the eastern regions, where its main strongholds are located, it is also attracting more and more voters in the west, against an overall backdrop of normalization of the far right and a national context marked by strong economic and political destabilization.

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Heidelberg, Germany - January 25, 2025: Poster for the Liberal Political party FDP at the Federal Elections 2025
Firn/Shutterstock.com

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