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Japan's Nuclear Crisis: A Time for Support

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Japan's Nuclear Crisis - a Time for Support
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These are terrifying moments. No one could ever have imagined that the Japanese nuclear sector could fall victim to such a seismic event.

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No country has spent more time building safeguards against seismic events than the Japanese who live at the confluence of three tectonic plates directly over the Pacific ring of fire. Yet, while no one can contest that the natural disaster that struck Japan was unprecedented, here we are with a very dangerous situation in Fukushima and it isn’t over yet. As the world observes from a distance, it needs to maintain the same sang-froid as the Japanese people who are living these events and support those who seek to cool the overheating reactors. Already the world knows that the firefighters seeking to cool the reactors are very likely sacrificing their lives.

Now is not the time to make quick judgments about the future of nuclear power or draw comparisons about whether such an event could happen in our country or how we would handle such an event differently. Nor to claim that our reactors are more modern than those in crisis in Japan - we all have operational reactors from multiple generations. Now is the time to watch attentively and learn. What went wrong? What went right? What are the challenges in communicating with the public and the world? How can authorities translate the unstructured evolution of such an event into public messaging that is timely, transparent, and informative and that can help citizens weight appropriately their individual options? What other lessons can we learn?

Thirteen percent of the world’s electricity is generated by nuclear power and another over 60 reactors are under construction. Nuclear power is important to our electricity supply now and will be for some decades to come. It is not a question of ‘whether" nuclear power so much as ‘how" nuclear power and over time ‘how much" nuclear power. Populations around the world will look to their authorities for assurances that nuclear power can continue to fulfill its role safely.

Our energy options are already limited and the challenge of providing clean, reliable, affordable energy to our populations is not getting any easier. As another 2 or 3 billion people on earth seek greater comfort and the benefits of modern energy services over the next years, we need to assure that our choices of energy will be sustainable not just in 2050 or the next century but in the transition between now and then. There are no easy answers.
 

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William C. RAMSAY

Intitulé du poste

Directeur du Centre Energie de l'Ifri de 2008 à 2011, Conseiller de 2012 à 2016

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

Date de publication
30 October 2024
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Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
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Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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The Troubled Reorganization of Critical Raw Materials Value Chains: An Assessment of European De-risking Policies

Date de publication
30 September 2024
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With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

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