Search on Ifri.org

About Ifri

Frequent searches

Suggestions

The Economic and Political Consequences of Falling Oil Production in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2030

Studies
|
Date de publication
|
Image de couverture de la publication
auge_pcns_golfe_2021_trad_page_1.png
Accroche

The sharp rebound in oil prices since the second half of 2020, to nearly $70 per barrel in May 2021, represents only a temporary respite for oil-dependent African economies that must change their economic model very quickly.

Image principale
© Shutterstock.com
© Shutterstock.com
Corps analyses

The COVID-19 crisis has weakened the oil economies of the Gulf of Guinea even more than those of other African countries, aggravating a situation that had already become critical as of 2014-2016, the previous period of oil price crisis. While all of Africa’s Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) producers entered in recession in 2020, other historically low-volume producers were much less affected by the economic consequences of the pandemic and avoided economic recession.

With oil reserves plummeting, depleted deposits, and high production costs, almost all of the Gulf of Guinea’s oil-producing countries need to reform their hydrocarbon sector to try to retain or attract companies that can make large investments as appropriate. This is the case for Cameroon, Gabon, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Côte d’Ivoire, Angola, and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Elsewhere in sub-Saharan Africa, this is also true for Sudan and South Sudan, and even for countries with relatively small deposits (Niger and Chad). Finally, it concerns production areas located in deep or very deep offshore fields (Nigeria and Angola).

Decoration

Available in:

ISBN / ISSN

979-10-373-0381-3

Share

Download the full analysis

This page contains only a summary of our work. If you would like to have access to all the information from our research on the subject, you can download the full version in PDF format.

The Economic and Political Consequences of Falling Oil Production in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2030

Decoration
Author(s)
Photo
benjamin_auge.jpg

Benjamin AUGÉ

Intitulé du poste
Page image credits
© Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

Image de couverture de la publication
auge_pcns_golfe_2021_trad_page_1.png
The Economic and Political Consequences of Falling Oil Production in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2030, from Ifri by
Copy
Image de couverture de la publication
auge_pcns_golfe_2021_trad_page_1.png

The Economic and Political Consequences of Falling Oil Production in Sub-Saharan Africa by 2030