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The New Russian Diaspora: Europe’s Challenge and Opportunity

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Russie.Eurasie.Reports
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Couverture_Diasporas russes US
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This report assesses both the scale and the roots of the outward migration from the Russian Federation coinciding with Putin’s turning of Russia into an aggressive authoritarian state.

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Passeport russe et drapeau européen
Passeport russe et drapeau européen
© Tunahan Turhan / Shutterstock
Corps analyses

The authors analyze both the open sources and the data collected during a study of the Russian diaspora in European Union (EU) member states, conducted in April 2024 on behalf of the Center for Analysis and Strategies in Europe (CASE) by a team of researchers associated with the University of Nicosia (the findings and methodology of the research are available on the CASE website). The authors argue that the Russians who have recently left their country represent substantial human capital that may be used almost exclusively in Europe or the Americas since both rich historical experience and recent cases of integrating Russians into non-Western societies show that they rarely became successful.

The authors make a clear distinction between classic “emigration” and the current condition of those Russians who left their country, which they prefer to call “relocation”. Those who have relocated are more active and flexible than emigrants have traditionally been; the European authorities can determine the ways and means of their admission, but at the same time, most of them possess financial resources and competencies that can facilitate their future integration into European societies. Studying the Russian diasporas in a number of post-Soviet and Central European nations, the authors depict their positive economic influence on host societies and, using Cyprus as a case study, emphasize how significant it may be even for a developed European country if its authorities pursue a balanced policy aimed at admission and integration of the “relocants”. Assessing the state of the Russian diasporas in Poland, Germany and France, they conclude that this strategy can be used by other EU member states.

The report emphasizes that the massive exodus of educated and self-made Russians presents a serious challenge to Putin’s regime, comparable in its significance to the effect of Western economic sanctions imposed on Russia. Unlike the current sanction policies, which often backfire on Europeans, abetment of Russians’ departure from their country can deliver noticeable economic benefits to the united Europe by creating a broad community of Russians who perceive Europe and the West in general as a close and appreciative ally rather than an enemy, making little distinction between the Putin regime and the decent Russian people who became its hostages.

 

Dmitry Gudkov was an independent member of the State Duma from 2011 to 2016, who spoke out against a number of decisions of symbolic significance for the Kremlin, such as the annexation of Crimea and the “Anti-Magnitsky Law,” which banned the adoption of Russian children by American citizens. In 2021, amid increasing pressure from Russian authorities on opposition leaders, he was forced to leave Russia. Currently, he is a co-founder and member of the Russian Anti-War Committee, established in 2022 by a group of Russian political émigrés to resist Vladimir Putin’s regime and the aggressive war it is waging against Ukraine.

Vladislav Inozemtsev is a Russian economist and political scientist with a PhD in economics and the founder and director of the Center for Post-Industrial Studies. From 2002 to 2012, he served as the editor-in-chief of Svobodnaya Mysl (Free Thought), a monthly political and economic journal. From 2011 to 2014, he was a professor at the Higher School of Economics and Section Chair at the Department for Public Administration at Moscow State University. Since 2014, he has been working outside Russia as a researcher and senior fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences (Vienna), the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and the Johns Hopkins University (Washington), the German Council on Foreign Relations (Berlin), and some other European and American think tanks.

Dmitry Nekrasov is a Russian economist, writer and entrepreneur who held various positions in Russia’s Federal Tax Service and presidential administration during Dmitry Medvedev’s years in the Kremlin. In 2012-2013 he served as the Secretary General of the Coordination Council of the Russian Opposition. In 2024 he became a co-founder of the Center of Analysis and Strategy in Europe (CASE) and currently serves as its director.  

 

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979-10-373-0876-4

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The New Russian Diaspora: Europe’s Challenge and Opportunity

Decoration
Author(s)
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Russie, Eurasie, Carte
Russia/Eurasia Center
Accroche centre

Founded in 2005 within Ifri, the Russia/Eurasia Center conducts research and organizes debates on Russia, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus. Its goal is to understand and anticipate the evolution of this complex and rapidly changing geographical area in order to enrich public discourse in France and Europe and to assist in strategic, political, and economic decision-making.

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Commanders of Putin's Long War: Purged, Reshuffled and Disgruntled

Date de publication
10 December 2024
Accroche

The trend of reshuffling the Russian top military command in the course of a fast-evolving and far from successful war has progressed unevenly both across the Armed Forces’ structures and in time. The rationale for and timing of the abrupt cadre decisions made by Commander-in-Chief Putin often defy logical explanation, and the rare official clarifications are no more informative than the usual information blackout. 

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Russian Military Manpower After Two and a Half Years of War in Ukraine

Date de publication
25 November 2024
Accroche

In addition to a military victory in Ukraine, the Russian leadership is planning to build up sizable troop formations for a possible conflict with NATO in the Baltic region and the Kola Peninsula. In particular, current plans aim for the military manpower to grow by about 350,000, reaching a total of 1.5 million soldiers and commanders. In the context of the current conflict in Ukraine, this cannot be accomplished without a new wave of mass mobilization. 

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Moldova’s Foreign Policy after 2024 Presidential Elections: Staying on the EU Path, Moving Eastwards or Becoming Multi-vector?

Date de publication
17 October 2024
Accroche

The future of Moldova’s foreign agenda will undergo a stress test during the upcoming presidential elections on October 20, 2024.

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Russian Strategic Thinking and Culture Before and After February 24, 2022: Political-Strategic Aspects

Date de publication
26 September 2024
Accroche

Written by Dimitri Minic, the scientific article "Russian Strategic Thinking and Culture Before and After February 24, 2022: Political-Strategic Aspects" in Russia’s war against Ukraine: Complexity of Contemporary Clausewitzian War by the National Defence University Department of Warfare, Helsinki 2024.

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Passeport russe et drapeau européen
© Tunahan Turhan / Shutterstock

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The New Russian Diaspora: Europe’s Challenge and Opportunity