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Understanding the Resilience of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Articles from Politique Etrangère
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The leaders of Iran nurture regional ambitions, and are conscious of the limits of their country’s power.

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They therefore opt for an indirect strategy, avoiding all direct confrontation with the adversaries of the Islamic Republic. The new American sanctions risk bringing Tehran yet closer to Moscow and Beijing. Those who believe that sporadic demonstrations may evolve into a full-fledged revolution are underestimating the regime’s resilience.

 

Pierre Pahlavi, is professor and deputy director for research at the Department of Defence Studies of the Canadian Forces College in Toronto.

 

Article published in Politique étrangère, Vol. 83, No. 3, Autumn 2018

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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
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Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?

Date de publication
24 September 2024
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The victory of the CHP [Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi, Republican People’s Party] in the Turkish municipal elections of March 2024 firmly established it as the leading party of opposition to the Islamic-conservative AKP [Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi, Justice and Development Party], which has been in power since 2002. 

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Israel-Palestine: One Solution, Two States

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

First proposed in 1936, the two-state solution has got lost over the course of several Israeli-Arab wars, colonization, the failure of the Oslo Accords, and the strategies of Israeli governments seeking rapprochement with certain Arab regimes. But it is currently the only imaginable solution. The numerous obstacles in its path could be overcome if the United States and its allies decided to impose it on the Israelis and Palestinians in opposition to their short-term visions.

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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule

Date de publication
27 March 2024
Accroche

While the May 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections looked as a difficult test for the flagging Islamo-conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP), they eventually held on to power, demonstrating their remarkable foothold in the Turkish context. The party notably recorded one of its highest scores in Konya, confirming the massive and uninterrupted support of this two-million inhabitants central Anatolian city for Turkish political Islam.

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Thirty Years on from the Oslo Accords: An Israeli Perspective

Date de publication
11 October 2023
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The Oslo agreements signed in 1993 raised high hopes for peace in the Middle East. But appraising the state of affairs, thirty years on, the picture is bleak. 

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