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Germany and the Arab Spring

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Germany and the Arab Spring
Accroche

Much of the analyses of German reactions to the Arab Spring uprisings have focused on Germany’s contentious decision relating to Libya. By siding with the critics of military intervention in abstaining from UNSC 1973, Germany vexed its allies and arguably displayed an astonishing lack of geostrategic foresight and moral rectitude.

Corps analyses

Germany, many noted, had clearly failed to grasp the geopolitical significance of events in the Arab world and was neither able nor willing to support the project of a democratic Middle East. This is wrong. Beyond all the finger-wagging and public chastisements over the Libya intervention, Germany has played a key role in pushing reform of the EU’s Mediterranean policies and has broken new ground in its relationship with emerging Arab democracies. While Germany clearly lacks the geostrategic ambitions and capacities of France or the UK, it has become a more proactive and independent regional player following the Arab Spring.

The Middle East and North Africa has traditionally been a region of limited strategic importance for Germany. With the notable exception of Israel, and at times Iran, Germany held few clear interests in the region and has largely failed to articulate a comprehensive regional approach of its own. Instead, it has been content with having its partners set the regional agenda, while quietly pursuing its limited commercial interests. On regional security issues, Germany followed the US lead. Within the EU, Germany consented to French dominance but advocated a balanced approach between Europe’s southern and eastern neighborhoods. When Germany did intervene, it was usually in order to curb French ambitions, such as during the Mediterranean Union debate, or in order to safeguard Israeli interests. Beyond that, German diplomacy was cautious not to get embroiled in the region’s multiple crises or to interfere with the regional ambitions of its allies.

 

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978-2-36567-100-2

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Germany and the Arab Spring

Decoration
Author(s)
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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?

Date de publication
24 September 2024
Accroche

The victory of the CHP [Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi, Republican People’s Party] in the Turkish municipal elections of March 2024 firmly established it as the leading party of opposition to the Islamic-conservative AKP [Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi, Justice and Development Party], which has been in power since 2002. 

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Israel-Palestine: One Solution, Two States

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

First proposed in 1936, the two-state solution has got lost over the course of several Israeli-Arab wars, colonization, the failure of the Oslo Accords, and the strategies of Israeli governments seeking rapprochement with certain Arab regimes. But it is currently the only imaginable solution. The numerous obstacles in its path could be overcome if the United States and its allies decided to impose it on the Israelis and Palestinians in opposition to their short-term visions.

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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule

Date de publication
27 March 2024
Accroche

While the May 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections looked as a difficult test for the flagging Islamo-conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP), they eventually held on to power, demonstrating their remarkable foothold in the Turkish context. The party notably recorded one of its highest scores in Konya, confirming the massive and uninterrupted support of this two-million inhabitants central Anatolian city for Turkish political Islam.

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Thirty Years on from the Oslo Accords: An Israeli Perspective

Date de publication
11 October 2023
Accroche

The Oslo agreements signed in 1993 raised high hopes for peace in the Middle East. But appraising the state of affairs, thirty years on, the picture is bleak. 

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Germany and the Arab Spring